Thursday, September 23, 2010

Fantasy Preview: Dover 2

Watch Roush Cars Carefully This Week
The Boys Return to "The Monster Mile"
My Preliminary Top Seven:
1. Kyle Busch - best average finish on similar tracks, won at Dover earlier this year, when he doesn't have problems he gets a top 5 here.
2. Matt Kenseth - average finish of 7.75 on similar tracks this year, 3rd earlier this year at Dover, career average finish here of 12.7, 5 top tens in his last 5 Dover starts
3. Greg Biffle - average finish of 10 on similar tracks this year, 6th in May at Dover, 5.2 average finish in last 5 Dover races, has won here twice with a career average finish of 10.5.
4. Jeff Burton - average finish of 9.0 on similar tracks, in the last 5 Dover races has an average finish of 10.2, finished second in May here.
5. Jimmie Johnson - average finish of 22.0 on similar tracks, has won two out of the last three here, 6.0 average finish in last three races at Dover.
6. Carl Edwards - average finish of 10.25 on similar tracks, hottest driver on the circuit (points wise), average finish of 6.20 in last 5 Dover starts, 8th here in May, average career finish of 7.9 at Dover.
7. Jeff Gordon - Average finish of 10.0 in similar tracks this year, 11.0 average finish in last 5 Dover races, four wins here and 21 top tens.

Sleeper of the Week: David Reutimann - finished 5th here in May and has been good on similar tracks this year (three out of the four races were top 11s).

Darlington and Bristol are similar to Dover and can help you with your fantasy picks this week. Along with average speeds, how drivers did at Darlington and Bristol (as well as Dover, obviously) will tell you who will probably be good on Sunday. Kyle Busch won here in May, finishing ahead of Jeff Burton and Matt Kenseth. Last year, Jimmie Johnson won both Dover races. Here is the top ten average finishes this year of both Bristol races, the Darlington race, and the first Dover race:

1. Kyle Busch - average finish of 4.5 - top ten in all four races, two wins
2. Matt Kenseth - average finish of 7.75 - top ten in three out of the four races
3. Kurt Busch - average finish of 8.5 - top 10 in three out of the four races (13th in other)
4. Jeff Burton - average finish of 9.0 - top ten in three out of the four races (16th in other)
5. Kevin Harvick - average finish of 9.5 - top ten in two out of the four races (top 15 in all four)
6a. Greg Biffle - average finish of 10.0 - top ten in three out of the four races (22nd in other)
6b. Jeff Gordon - average finish of 10.0 - top ten in one out the four races (top 15 in all four)
8. Carl Edwards - average finish of 10.25 - top ten in two out of the four races (top 15 in all four)
9. Ryan Newman - average finish of 11.0 - top ten in two out of the four races (13th and 16th in others)
10. Jamie McMurray - average finish of 11.25 - top ten in three out of the four races (32nd in other)

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